Stock TechnicalAAPLgenerated on 28 September 2026

Research report for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

Stock Technicalgenerated Sep 28, 2026 20:43 UTC

AAPLAAPL

Last close338.40

Source: Chart label (approximate)

StructureHigher highs, higher lows

Sequence of swing highs and lows across the analysed timeframes

Daily vs EMA200 (%)15.10

Above the cloud

Daily ADX(14)20.97

4H 21.01

SEPA (daily)Passes

Trend-template screen

Short-term readAbove cloud

Medium-term readAbove cloud

Long-term readAbove cloud

AAPL closed at $338.40, positioned above all key moving average clouds across all three timeframes — a clean multi-timeframe alignment that reflects sustained strength.

confidencedata as of Sep 28, 2026 20:40 UTCdata notes8

LongAbove cloudShortAbove cloudMediumAbove cloudStructureHh hlSepa dailyPass

What the data shows

AAPL closed at $338.40, positioned above all key moving average clouds across all three timeframes — a clean multi-timeframe alignment that reflects sustained strength. The 4-hour chart shows price above both the SMA50 cloud (326.99-328.99) and the EMA200 cloud (311.04-313.11), with ADX at 21.01 indicating an emerging trend. Daily structure is equally constructive: price sits above the SMA50 cloud (321.93-324.91) and well above the EMA200 cloud (293.02-295.94), with SEPA passing (all moving averages properly aligned) and ADX at 20.97 confirming trend presence. Weekly perspective shows price above the SMA50 cloud (286.75-293.31) and far above the EMA200 cloud (228.04-233.33), with ADX at 22.73 — the strongest of the three timeframes. VIX at 16.1 sits in normal range with no spike, suggesting stable conditions. Two DCF reference levels provide context: the earnings-based model (Midaris) places a reference range at $86.17-$100.56 (264% below current price, implying 27.1% annual growth embedded in the current valuation), while the cash-flow-based provider model shows $132.92 (155% below price). The wide gap between these two reference levels (earnings model at ~$93 vs cash-flow at ~$133) reflects different valuation methodologies and growth assumptions; neither is presented as a level. VPVR analysis reveals strong high-volume support zones at 320-325 (4H), 310-315 (daily), and 335-345 (weekly), with the current price sitting within the weekly HVN zone. The single most important thing to watch is whether price can hold above the daily SMA50 cloud at 321.93-324.91 on any pullback, as a break below would shift the 4-hour structure from above-cloud to pullback-to-cloud and trigger the first meaningful test of this advance.

Horizon	Read
Short term	Above cloud
Medium term	Above cloud
Long term	Above cloud
Next reference the analysis points to	None
Price structure	Higher highs, higher lows
SEPA screen (daily)	Passes

All three timeframes agree on the core structure: price sits above both the SMA50 and EMA200 clouds on every timeframe, creating a rare multi-timeframe alignment that reflects sustained strength.
The weekly timeframe is dominant with the strongest ADX reading (22.73) and the cleanest trend structure, while the 4-hour and daily timeframes show emerging trend characteristics (ADX ~21) that suggest the move is still developing rather than exhausted.
The big picture story is one of a stock that has broken out from a long base and is now consolidating gains in the 335-345 zone, which appears as an HVN on both daily and weekly charts.
Confluence zones of particular importance include: the daily SMA50 cloud at 321.93-324.91 (first support), the 4-hour HVN at 320-325 (immediate support), the daily EMA200 cloud at 293.02-295.94 (major support), and the weekly SMA50 cloud at 286.75-293.31 (long-term support).
The 345-348 level represents the next resistance zone based on 4-hour VPVR.

TF	Close	SMA50	SMA150	SMA200	EMA200	vs EMA200 %	vs SMA50 %	ADX(14)	ATR(14)
4H	$338.40	$326.99	$315.74	$312.31	$310.44	+9.01%	+3.49%	21.01	4.08
Daily	$338.40	$321.93	$295.47	$288.07	$294.01	+15.10%	+5.12%	20.97	6.83
Weekly	$338.40	$286.75	$237.39	$219.95	$228.04	+48.40%	+18.01%	22.73	16.25

4H: close 338.4, +9.01% versus EMA200 and +3.49% versus SMA50, ADX 21.01.
Daily: close 338.4, +15.1% versus EMA200 and +5.12% versus SMA50, ADX 20.97.
Weekly: close 338.4, +48.4% versus EMA200 and +18.01% versus SMA50, ADX 22.73.
ADX above 25 describes a trending market and below 20 a rangebound one; ATR is the average true range over 14 bars and sizes the typical move.

TF	Cloud	Low	High	Price is	Distance %
4H	EMA200 cloud	$310.94	$313.03	Above	+8.47%
4H	SMA50 cloud	$326.96	$329.00	Above	+3.18%
Daily	EMA200 cloud	$293.43	$296.35	Above	+14.75%
Daily	SMA50 cloud	$321.93	$324.91	Above	+4.63%
Weekly	EMA200 cloud	$227.00	$233.00	Above	+47.13%
Weekly	SMA50 cloud	$286.00	$293.00	Above	+16.89%

4H EMA200 cloud spans 310.94–313.03; price is above it by 8.47%.
4H SMA50 cloud spans 326.96–329; price is above it by 3.18%.
Daily EMA200 cloud spans 293.43–296.35; price is above it by 14.75%.
Daily SMA50 cloud spans 321.93–324.91; price is above it by 4.63%.
Weekly EMA200 cloud spans 227–233; price is above it by 47.13%.
Weekly SMA50 cloud spans 286–293; price is above it by 16.89%.
A cloud is the band between the high and the low series of the same average, so it is a zone rather than a single line.

dashed rows are model estimates, not traded levels · Earnings DCF (Midaris) · Cash-flow DCF (provider) · Current Price Zone

Level	Role	Source	From price %	Notes
86.17-100.56	Reference	Earnings DCF (Midaris)	-72.41%	Earnings-based reference range (EPS 7.46, growth 7.39%/4%, discount 12%); 264% below price; implies 27.1% growth embedded in current valuation
131.60-134.25	Reference	Cash-flow DCF (provider)	-60.72%	Cash-flow-based reference level at $132.92 ±1%; 155% below price; wide gap vs earnings model reflects different methodologies
228.04-233.33	Critical Support	Weekly EMA200 Cloud	-31.83%	Measured zone; ultimate long-term floor; 48% below current price
286.75-293.31	Critical Support	Weekly SMA50 Cloud	-14.29%	Measured zone; long-term trend floor; first major support on weekly timeframe
293.02-295.94	Critical Support	Daily EMA200 Cloud	-12.98%	Measured zone; major daily trend floor; break would invalidate daily trend structure
311.04-313.11	Support	4H EMA200 Cloud	-7.78%	Measured zone; aligns with 4H VPVR POC at 310-312; major 4-hour reference level
310.00-315.00	Support	Daily VPVR HVN	-7.65%	Strong high-volume zone on daily chart; major support if daily SMA50 cloud breaks
320.00-325.00	Major Support	4H VPVR HVN / Daily VPVR HVN	-4.70%	Strong confluence zone appearing on both 4H and daily VPVR; high-volume support
321.93-324.91	Major Support	Daily SMA50 Cloud	-4.43%	Measured zone; critical daily trend pivot; break below would shift 4H to pullback-to-cloud
326.99-328.99	Support	4H SMA50 Cloud	-3.08%	Measured zone; immediate support and first line of defense for 4-hour structure
335.00-340.00	Support	Daily VPVR HVN	-0.27%	Strong high-volume zone marked as support-or-resistance-chop; current consolidation platform
337.40-339.40	Reference	Current Price Zone	0.00%	Current close at $338.40; price sits within the weekly HVN zone 335-345
335.00-345.00	Support	Weekly VPVR HVN	+0.47%	Strong high-volume zone on weekly chart; major consolidation area
345.00-348.00	Resistance	4H VPVR HVN	+2.39%	Moderate-strength high-volume zone on 4-hour chart; next overhead resistance

Nearest level below price: 335.00-340.00 (Daily VPVR HVN), -0.27% away.
Nearest level above price: 335.00-345.00 (Weekly VPVR HVN), +0.47% away.
14 levels were mapped across the three timeframes, sorted here from the lowest to the highest.
Strong high-volume zone marked as support-or-resistance-chop; current consolidation platform.
Strong high-volume zone on weekly chart; major consolidation area.

TF	Zone	Low	High	Strength	If retested	From price %
4H	POC	$310.00	$312.00	Point of control	Reference	-8.10%
4H	HVN	$320.00	$325.00	Strong	Support	-4.70%
4H	HVN	$280.00	$285.00	Moderate	Support	-16.52%
4H	HVN	$260.00	$265.00	Moderate	Support	-22.43%
4H	HVN	$345.00	$348.00	Moderate	Resistance	+2.39%
4H	LVN	$335.00	$337.00	Weak	Resistance	-0.71%
4H	LVN	$295.00	$297.00	Weak	Fast move zone	-12.53%
Daily	POC	$271.00	$273.00	Point of control	Reference	-19.62%
Daily	HVN	$310.00	$315.00	Strong	Support	-7.65%
Daily	HVN	$320.00	$325.00	Moderate	Support	-4.70%
Daily	HVN	$335.00	$340.00	Strong	Support or resistance chop	-0.27%
Daily	HVN	$270.00	$275.00	Strong	Support	-19.47%
Daily	HVN	$230.00	$240.00	Moderate	Support	-30.56%
Daily	LVN	$300.00	$305.00	Weak	Fast move zone	-10.61%
Daily	LVN	$280.00	$285.00	Weak	Fast move zone	-16.52%
Weekly	POC	$146.00	$148.00	Point of control	Reference	-56.56%
Weekly	HVN	$160.00	$175.00	Strong	Support	-50.50%
Weekly	HVN	$220.00	$235.00	Moderate	Support or resistance chop	-32.77%
Weekly	HVN	$260.00	$275.00	Moderate	Support or resistance chop	-20.95%
Weekly	HVN	$310.00	$320.00	Moderate	Support	-6.91%
Weekly	HVN	$335.00	$345.00	Strong	Support	+0.47%
Weekly	LVN	$185.00	$195.00	Weak	Fast move zone	-43.85%
Weekly	LVN	$280.00	$290.00	Weak	Fast move zone	-15.78%

4H point of control sits at 310–312, -8.1% from the last close.
Daily point of control sits at 271–273, -19.62% from the last close.
Weekly point of control sits at 146–148, -56.56% from the last close.
High volume nodes mark prices where a lot of business was done and tend to slow moves; low volume nodes are thin and tend to be crossed quickly.
Every profile figure is read off the chart image, so treat the boundaries as approximate ranges rather than exact prices.

TF	ADX(14)	vs EMA200 %	Read
4H	21.01	+9.01%	The 4 hour chart displays a clean above cloud structure with price at $338.40 positioned above both the SMA50 cloud (326.99 328.99) and the EMA200 cloud (311.04 313.11).
Daily	20.97	+15.10%	Daily structure shows price at $338.40 well above the SMA50 cloud (321.93 324.91) and significantly above the EMA200 cloud (293.02 295.94), with a 15% cushion to the latter.
Weekly	22.73	+48.40%	The weekly timeframe provides the long term context with price at $338.40 positioned above the SMA50 cloud (286.75 293.31) and far above the EMA200 cloud (228.04 233.33), representing a 48% premium to the weekly EMA200 cloud.

Daily structure shows price at $338.40 well above the SMA50 cloud (321.93-324.91) and significantly above the EMA200 cloud (293.02-295.94), with a 15% cushion to the latter.
ADX at 20.97 matches the 4-hour reading, sitting at the lower edge of trend confirmation (20-25 zone), which suggests the trend is present but not yet mature.
The weekly timeframe provides the long-term context with price at $338.40 positioned above the SMA50 cloud (286.75-293.31) and far above the EMA200 cloud (228.04-233.33), representing a 48% premium to the weekly EMA200 cloud.
ADX at 22.73 is the strongest of all three timeframes, sitting firmly in the trend-present zone and confirming the weekly uptrend has more conviction than the shorter timeframes.
The 4-hour chart displays a clean above-cloud structure with price at $338.40 positioned above both the SMA50 cloud (326.99-328.99) and the EMA200 cloud (311.04-313.11).

Flag	Why it fired	Evidence
ADX EMERGING NOT ESTABLISHED	Both 4-hour and daily ADX readings sit at ~21, in the emerging trend zone (20-25) rather than the established trend zone (>=25), indicating the trend is present but not yet mature and transition risk remains possible.	ADX (14) — 4h · ADX (14) — daily
LVN AT CURRENT PRICE	A weak LVN zone at 335-337 on the 4-hour chart sits at the current price level, indicating thin volume and potential for fast moves in either direction with limited absorption.	Low-volume zones — 4h · Close — 4h
DAILY HVN CHOP ZONE	The daily VPVR marks the 335-340 zone as support-or-resistance-chop, indicating this is a high-volume battleground area where price has spent significant time without clear directional resolution.	High-volume zones — daily
WEEKLY PREMIUM TO EMA200	Price sits 48% above the weekly EMA200 cloud (228.04-233.33), representing a significant extension that increases the magnitude of any potential pullback to that long-term reference level.	Close — weekly · Ema200 cloud — weekly
DCF REFERENCE GAP	The two DCF reference levels show a wide gap: earnings-based at $86.17-$100.56 (264% below price) versus cash-flow-based at $132.92 (155% below price). The earnings model implies 27.1% annual growth is embedded in the current valuation, while the cash-flow model sits 44% higher. This divergence reflects different methodologies and growth assumptions.	DCF earnings value · Earnings low · Earnings high · Provider DCF value · DCF implied growth (%)
VIX RECENT SPIKE Reading	VIX at 16.1 is in normal range but shows an 8.1% increase over the past 5 days, indicating a recent uptick in volatility expectations even though no spike threshold has been crossed.	Level · Change 5d pct · Spike

Both 4-hour and daily ADX readings sit at ~21, in the emerging trend zone (20-25) rather than the established trend zone (>=25), indicating the trend is present but not yet mature and transition risk remains possible.
A weak LVN zone at 335-337 on the 4-hour chart sits at the current price level, indicating thin volume and potential for fast moves in either direction with limited absorption.
The daily VPVR marks the 335-340 zone as support-or-resistance-chop, indicating this is a high-volume battleground area where price has spent significant time without clear directional resolution.
Price sits 48% above the weekly EMA200 cloud (228.04-233.33), representing a significant extension that increases the magnitude of any potential pullback to that long-term reference level.
The two DCF reference levels show a wide gap: earnings-based at $86.17-$100.56 (264% below price) versus cash-flow-based at $132.92 (155% below price). The earnings model implies 27.1% annual growth is embedded in the current valuation, while the cash-flow model sits 44% higher. This divergence reflects different methodologies and growth assumptions.

Chart	Scenario	Type	Zone	Relative to price	Basis	What it means
4H chart	Above-price scenario	Reaction zone	334.23 – 340.57	below price	Weekly HVN zone 335-345 widened by +/-0.2*ATR (Weekly ATR 16.25); current consolidation platform	The nearest area the chart rules identify where price has reacted before — in this scenario, the zone a pullback would test.
4H chart	Above-price scenario	Level 1 above	345 – 348	above price	4H VPVR HVN zone (moderate strength); immediate resistance to clear for breakout confirmation	A price zone where a lot of trading took place. When price has closed through a zone like this on rising volume, it has often gone on to the next level above; when it has failed there, it has often turned back.
4H chart	Above-price scenario	Contradicting level	321.93	below price	Close back below the Daily SMA50 cloud low	The level where this scenario no longer fits the chart.
4H chart	Base scenario	Reaction zone	320.55 – 325.73	below price	Daily SMA50 cloud (321.93-324.91) widened by +/-0.2*ATR (4H ATR 4.08, Daily ATR 6.83); confluence with 4H HVN zone 320-325	The nearest area the chart rules identify where price has reacted before — in this scenario, the zone a pullback would test.
4H chart	Base scenario	Level 1 above	345 – 348	above price	4H VPVR HVN zone (moderate strength); next overhead resistance above current weekly HVN consolidation platform	A price zone where a lot of trading took place. When price has closed through a zone like this on rising volume, it has often gone on to the next level above; when it has failed there, it has often turned back.
4H chart	Base scenario	Contradicting level	321.93	below price	Close below the Daily SMA50 cloud low	The level where this scenario no longer fits the chart.
4H chart	Below-price scenario	Reaction zone	309.68 – 316.32	below price	Daily VPVR HVN zone 310-315 widened by +/-0.2*ATR (Daily ATR 6.83); confluence with 4H EMA200 cloud (311.04-313.11) and 4H VPVR POC (310-312)	The nearest area the chart rules identify where price has reacted before — in this scenario, the zone a pullback would test.
4H chart	Below-price scenario	Level 1 below	310 – 315	below price	Daily VPVR HVN zone (strong); confluence with 4H EMA200 cloud and 4H VPVR POC; major support layer	The price with the most trading in the period — a level price has often returned to.
4H chart	Below-price scenario	Level 2 below	293.02 – 295.94	below price	Daily EMA200 cloud (measured); major daily trend floor; break would invalidate daily trend structure	The height of the last range added to the breakout point — a classic chart rule for the next level after a breakout.
4H chart	Below-price scenario	Contradicting level	324.91	below price	Close reclaim above the Daily SMA50 cloud high	The level where this scenario no longer fits the chart.
Daily chart	Above-price scenario	Reaction zone	333.63 – 341.37	below price	Daily VPVR HVN zone 335-340 widened by +/-0.2*ATR (Daily ATR 6.83); current consolidation platform and breakout reference	The nearest area the chart rules identify where price has reacted before — in this scenario, the zone a pullback would test.
Daily chart	Above-price scenario	Level 1 above	335 – 345	above price	Weekly VPVR HVN zone (strong); current consolidation platform on weekly timeframe; breakout confirmation level	A price zone where a lot of trading took place. When price has closed through a zone like this on rising volume, it has often gone on to the next level above; when it has failed there, it has often turned back.
Daily chart	Above-price scenario	Contradicting level	293.02	below price	Close below the Daily EMA200 cloud low	The level where this scenario no longer fits the chart.
Daily chart	Base scenario	Reaction zone	291.66 – 297.3	below price	Daily EMA200 cloud (293.02-295.94) widened by +/-0.2*ATR (Daily ATR 6.83); major daily trend floor	The nearest area the chart rules identify where price has reacted before — in this scenario, the zone a pullback would test.
Daily chart	Base scenario	Level 1 below	335 – 340	below price	Daily VPVR HVN zone (strong, marked as support-or-resistance-chop); current consolidation platform and high-volume battleground area	A price zone where a lot of trading took place below the current price. When price has held above a zone like this, it has often turned back up; a close below it on rising volume has often led to the next level below.
Daily chart	Base scenario	Contradicting level	293.02	below price	Close below the Daily EMA200 cloud low	The level where this scenario no longer fits the chart.
Daily chart	Below-price scenario	Reaction zone	283.5 – 296.56	below price	Weekly SMA50 cloud (286.75-293.31) widened by +/-0.2*ATR (Weekly ATR 16.25); long-term trend floor and first major support on weekly timeframe	The nearest area the chart rules identify where price has reacted before — in this scenario, the zone a pullback would test.
Daily chart	Below-price scenario	Level 1 below	286.75 – 293.31	below price	Weekly SMA50 cloud (measured); long-term trend floor and first major support on weekly timeframe	The height of the last range added to the breakout point — a classic chart rule for the next level after a breakout.
Daily chart	Below-price scenario	Level 2 below	270 – 275	below price	Daily VPVR HVN zone (strong); major support layer below Weekly SMA50 cloud	The 50-period average band — the medium-term trend line on this chart; a close through it is the first change in that trend.
Daily chart	Below-price scenario	Contradicting level	295.94	below price	Close reclaim above the Daily EMA200 cloud high	The level where this scenario no longer fits the chart.
Weekly chart	Above-price scenario	Reaction zone	331.75 – 348.25	above price	Weekly VPVR HVN zone 335-345 widened by +/-0.2*ATR (Weekly ATR 16.25); current consolidation platform and breakout reference	The nearest area the chart rules identify where price has reacted before — in this scenario, the zone a pullback would test.
Weekly chart	Above-price scenario	Level 1 above	335 – 345	above price	Weekly VPVR HVN zone (strong); current consolidation platform; breakout confirmation level	A price zone where a lot of trading took place. When price has closed through a zone like this on rising volume, it has often gone on to the next level above; when it has failed there, it has often turned back.
Weekly chart	Above-price scenario	Contradicting level	286.75	below price	Close below the Weekly SMA50 cloud low	The level where this scenario no longer fits the chart.
Weekly chart	Base scenario	Reaction zone	283.5 – 296.56	below price	Weekly SMA50 cloud (286.75-293.31) widened by +/-0.2*ATR (Weekly ATR 16.25); long-term trend floor	The nearest area the chart rules identify where price has reacted before — in this scenario, the zone a pullback would test.
Weekly chart	Base scenario	Level 1 above	335 – 345	above price	Weekly VPVR HVN zone (strong); current consolidation platform and major high-volume area	A price zone where a lot of trading took place. When price has closed through a zone like this on rising volume, it has often gone on to the next level above; when it has failed there, it has often turned back.
Weekly chart	Base scenario	Contradicting level	286.75	below price	Close below the Weekly SMA50 cloud low	The level where this scenario no longer fits the chart.
Weekly chart	Below-price scenario	Reaction zone	224.79 – 236.58	below price	Weekly EMA200 cloud (228.04-233.33) widened by +/-0.2*ATR (Weekly ATR 16.25); ultimate long-term floor	The nearest area the chart rules identify where price has reacted before — in this scenario, the zone a pullback would test.
Weekly chart	Below-price scenario	Level 1 below	260 – 275	below price	Weekly VPVR HVN zone (moderate, marked as support-or-resistance-chop); major support layer below Weekly SMA50 cloud	The 50-period average band — the medium-term trend line on this chart; a close through it is the first change in that trend.
Weekly chart	Below-price scenario	Level 2 below	228.04 – 233.33	below price	Weekly EMA200 cloud (measured); ultimate long-term floor; 48% below current price	The height of the last range added to the breakout point — a classic chart rule for the next level after a breakout.
Weekly chart	Below-price scenario	Contradicting level	293.31	below price	Close reclaim above the Weekly SMA50 cloud high	The level where this scenario no longer fits the chart.

Levels come from fixed chart rules (moving-average clouds, volume profile, measured moves). No timing is implied.

4H chart — Above-price scenario — condition: Price breaks and holds above 345.00 with a daily close
4H chart — Base scenario — condition: Price holds above the Daily SMA50 cloud at 321.93-324.91 on any pullback
4H chart — Below-price scenario — condition: Price breaks below the Daily SMA50 cloud at 321.93 with a 4-hour close
Daily chart — Above-price scenario — condition: Price sustains trade above 340.00 with daily closes
Daily chart — Base scenario — condition: Price holds above the Daily EMA200 cloud at 293.02-295.94 on any pullback
Daily chart — Below-price scenario — condition: Price breaks below the Daily EMA200 cloud at 293.02 with a daily close
Weekly chart — Above-price scenario — condition: Price breaks and holds above 345.00 with weekly closes
Weekly chart — Base scenario — condition: Price holds above the Weekly SMA50 cloud at 286.75-293.31 on any pullback
Weekly chart — Below-price scenario — condition: Price breaks below the Weekly SMA50 cloud at 286.75 with a weekly close

How the rules read this chart

Above-price scenario: The above-price scenario depends on price clearing the current weekly HVN consolidation platform (335-345) and the 4-hour resistance zone at 345-348. This would represent a breakout from the high-volume battleground area marked on the daily chart (335-340 HVN chop zone) and confirm buyers are willing to pay up beyond the recent consolidation range. The weekly ADX at 22.73 is the strongest of all three timeframes, providing the most conviction that the long-term trend has directional momentum to support such a move. However, this scenario requires ADX on the shorter timeframes to strengthen from the current emerging trend readings (~21) toward the established trend zone (>=25). The 4-hour chart shows a weak LVN at 335-337, suggesting thin volume at current levels could facilitate a fast move higher once the 345 level is cleared. A successful break would open air toward the next structural resistance, though no clear chart level exists immediately above 348 within the current data set. Base scenario: The 4-hour chart shows price at $338.40 positioned above both the SMA50 cloud (326.99-328.99) and the EMA200 cloud (311.04-313.11), with ADX at 21.01 indicating an emerging trend. The base scenario assumes price consolidates within the current weekly HVN zone (335-345) and respects the Daily SMA50 cloud as support. This scenario is supported by multi-timeframe cloud alignment (all three timeframes show above-cloud positioning) and SEPA passing on the daily chart. The 4-hour HVN at 320-325 provides a secondary support layer that aligns with the Daily SMA50 cloud, creating a confluence zone. However, ADX readings at ~21 on both 4-hour and daily timeframes sit at the lower edge of trend confirmation, indicating the trend is present but not yet mature. A successful hold above 321.93 would confirm the daily structure remains intact and allow for continuation toward the next resistance zone. Below-price scenario: The below-price scenario would be triggered by a break below the Daily SMA50 cloud at 321.93-324.91, which would shift the 4-hour structure from above-cloud to pullback-to-cloud and raise questions about the daily trend. This scenario assumes the current consolidation in the 335-345 weekly HVN zone fails to hold and price retraces toward the next support layer. The 4-hour HVN at 320-325 provides immediate support that aligns with the Daily SMA50 cloud, creating a confluence zone where a bounce attempt would be expected. However, a failure to reclaim above 321.93 with a close would confirm the pullback is in progress and put the next support level at the Daily HVN zone (310-315) and the 4-hour EMA200 cloud (311.04-313.11) in play. The daily VPVR shows an LVN zone at 300-305, indicating thin volume between the Daily SMA50 cloud and the Daily EMA200 cloud, which could facilitate a fast move lower if the 310-315 support fails. SEPA passing on the daily chart and multi-timeframe cloud alignment suggest this scenario would represent a pullback within an intact trend rather than a trend reversal, unless the Daily EMA200 cloud at 293.02-295.94 is breached.

Points to note

Above-price scenario — No clear chart level exists above 348 within the current data set; further levels would require additional structural analysis
Above-price scenario — ADX readings at ~21 on 4H and daily timeframes indicate the trend is emerging but not yet established; a breakout would require ADX to strengthen toward 25+ to confirm sustained directional momentum
Above-price scenario — The 335-340 daily HVN chop zone indicates this is a high-volume battleground area; a breakout requires sustained buying pressure to clear this resistance
Base scenario — ADX at 21.01 (4H) and 20.97 (daily) sits at the emerging trend threshold (20-25 zone), indicating the trend is present but not yet established; transition risk remains possible
Base scenario — Current price sits within a weak LVN zone at 335-337 on the 4-hour chart, indicating thin volume and potential for fast moves in either direction
Base scenario — Daily VPVR marks the 335-340 zone as support-or-resistance-chop, indicating this is a high-volume battleground area without clear directional resolution yet
Below-price scenario — A break below 321.93 would shift the 4H structure to pullback-to-cloud but would not invalidate the daily trend unless the Daily EMA200 cloud at 293.02 is breached
Below-price scenario — SEPA passing on the daily chart and multi-timeframe cloud alignment suggest this scenario represents a pullback within an intact trend rather than a trend reversal
Below-price scenario — The daily VPVR shows an LVN zone at 300-305, indicating thin volume between the Daily SMA50 cloud and the Daily EMA200 cloud; a break below 310 could facilitate a fast move toward 293-296

How the rules read this chart

Above-price scenario: The above-price scenario depends on price clearing the current daily HVN chop zone (335-340) and confirming buyers are willing to pay up beyond the recent consolidation range. This would represent a breakout from the high-volume battleground area and confirm the daily trend is strengthening. The weekly ADX at 22.73 is the strongest of all three timeframes, providing conviction that the long-term trend has directional momentum to support such a move. Multi-timeframe cloud alignment (all three timeframes show above-cloud positioning) and SEPA passing on the daily chart provide structural support for continuation. However, this scenario requires ADX on the daily timeframe to strengthen from the current 20.97 reading toward the established trend zone (>=25) to confirm sustained directional momentum. The daily VPVR shows an LVN zone at 300-305, indicating thin volume between the Daily SMA50 cloud and the Daily EMA200 cloud, which would provide limited support if a pullback occurs after the breakout. A successful break above 340 would open air toward the next structural resistance, though no clear daily chart level exists immediately above within the current data set. Base scenario: The daily chart shows price at $338.40 well above the SMA50 cloud (321.93-324.91) and significantly above the EMA200 cloud (293.02-295.94), with a 15% cushion to the latter. ADX at 20.97 sits at the lower edge of trend confirmation (20-25 zone), indicating the trend is present but not yet mature. SEPA status passes with all moving averages properly aligned (close > SMA50 > SMA150 > SMA200), confirming the daily trend template is intact. The base scenario assumes price consolidates within the current structure and respects the Daily EMA200 cloud as the major trend floor. The daily VPVR shows strong HVN zones at 310-315 and 320-325, providing layered support above the EMA200 cloud. A successful hold above 293.02 would confirm the daily trend remains intact and allow for continuation toward higher levels. However, the 335-340 daily HVN zone is marked as support-or-resistance-chop, indicating the current price level is a high-volume battleground area where directional resolution is still pending. Below-price scenario: The below-price scenario would be triggered by a break below the Daily EMA200 cloud at 293.02-295.94, which would invalidate the daily trend structure and trigger a retest of the Weekly SMA50 cloud at 286.75-293.31. This scenario assumes the current consolidation fails and price retraces toward the next major support layer on the weekly timeframe. The daily VPVR shows strong HVN zones at 310-315 and 320-325 above the EMA200 cloud, which would be expected to provide resistance on any bounce attempt after the break. However, a failure to reclaim above 293.02 with a close would confirm the daily trend is broken and put the Weekly SMA50 cloud in play as the next support level. The daily VPVR shows an LVN zone at 280-285, indicating thin volume between the Daily EMA200 cloud and the Weekly SMA50 cloud, which could facilitate a fast move lower if the 293-296 support fails. SEPA passing on the daily chart would be invalidated by a break below the EMA200 cloud, as the moving average alignment would no longer be intact. The weekly ADX at 22.73 suggests the long-term trend remains in place, indicating this scenario would represent a pullback to the weekly structure rather than a complete trend reversal, unless the Weekly SMA50 cloud at 286.75 is breached.

Points to note

Above-price scenario — No clear daily chart level exists above 345 within the current data set; further levels would require additional structural analysis or reference to weekly resistance zones
Above-price scenario — ADX at 20.97 on the daily timeframe indicates the trend is emerging but not yet established; a breakout would require ADX to strengthen toward 25+ to confirm sustained directional momentum
Above-price scenario — The 335-340 daily HVN chop zone indicates this is a high-volume battleground area; a breakout requires sustained buying pressure to clear this resistance
Base scenario — ADX at 20.97 sits at the emerging trend threshold (20-25 zone), indicating the trend is present but not yet established; a strengthening toward 25+ would confirm sustained directional momentum
Base scenario — The 335-340 daily HVN zone is marked as support-or-resistance-chop, indicating this is a high-volume battleground area without clear directional resolution yet
Base scenario — A break below the Daily SMA50 cloud at 321.93 would be the first warning sign and shift the 4-hour structure to pullback-to-cloud, though it would not invalidate the daily trend unless the EMA200 cloud at 293.02 is breached
Below-price scenario — A break below 293.02 would invalidate the daily trend structure and SEPA passing status, as the moving average alignment would no longer be intact
Below-price scenario — The daily VPVR shows an LVN zone at 280-285, indicating thin volume between the Daily EMA200 cloud and the Weekly SMA50 cloud; a break below 293 could facilitate a fast move toward 286-293
Below-price scenario — The weekly ADX at 22.73 suggests the long-term trend remains in place; this scenario represents a pullback to the weekly structure rather than a complete trend reversal unless the Weekly SMA50 cloud at 286.75 is breached

How the rules read this chart

Above-price scenario: The above-price scenario depends on price clearing the current weekly HVN consolidation platform (335-345) and confirming buyers are willing to pay up beyond the recent high-volume area. This would represent a breakout from the major consolidation zone and confirm the weekly trend is strengthening. The weekly ADX at 22.73 is the strongest of all three timeframes and sits firmly in the trend-present zone, providing conviction that the long-term trend has directional momentum to support such a move. Multi-timeframe cloud alignment (all three timeframes show above-cloud positioning) and SEPA passing on the daily chart provide structural support for continuation. The weekly VPVR shows an LVN zone at 280-290, indicating thin volume between the 260-275 and 310-320 HVN zones, which would provide limited support if a pullback occurs after the breakout. However, the 48% premium to the weekly EMA200 cloud (228.04-233.33) represents a significant extension that increases the magnitude of any potential pullback if the breakout fails. A successful break above 345 would open air toward the next structural resistance, though no clear weekly chart level exists immediately above within the current data set. Base scenario: The weekly chart shows price at $338.40 positioned above the SMA50 cloud (286.75-293.31) and far above the EMA200 cloud (228.04-233.33), representing a 48% premium to the weekly EMA200 cloud. ADX at 22.73 is the strongest of all three timeframes and sits firmly in the trend-present zone (>=20), providing the most conviction that the long-term trend has directional momentum. The base scenario assumes price consolidates within the current weekly HVN zone (335-345) and respects the Weekly SMA50 cloud as the long-term trend floor. Multi-timeframe cloud alignment (all three timeframes show above-cloud positioning) and SEPA passing on the daily chart provide structural support for the long-term trend. The weekly VPVR shows strong HVN zones at 310-320 and 260-275, providing layered support above the SMA50 cloud. A successful hold above 286.75 would confirm the weekly trend remains intact and allow for continuation toward higher levels. However, the 335-345 weekly HVN zone marks a major high-volume area that has absorbed significant trading activity, indicating this is a consolidation platform where directional resolution is still pending. Below-price scenario: The below-price scenario would be triggered by a break below the Weekly SMA50 cloud at 286.75-293.31, which would indicate a major trend change and put the Weekly EMA200 cloud at 228.04-233.33 in play as the next support level. This scenario assumes the current consolidation fails and price retraces toward the long-term floor. The weekly VPVR shows strong HVN zones at 310-320 and 260-275, which would be expected to provide resistance on any bounce attempt after the break. However, a failure to reclaim above 286.75 with a close would confirm the weekly trend is broken and put the Weekly EMA200 cloud in play as the ultimate long-term floor. The weekly VPVR shows an LVN zone at 280-290, indicating thin volume between the Weekly SMA50 cloud and the 260-275 HVN zone, which could facilitate a fast move lower if the 286-293 support fails. Multi-timeframe cloud alignment would be broken by a move below the Weekly SMA50 cloud, as the weekly structure would shift from above-cloud to pullback-to-cloud. The weekly ADX at 22.73 suggests the long-term trend has been in place, indicating this scenario would represent a major trend reversal rather than a simple pullback.

Points to note

Above-price scenario — No clear weekly chart level exists above 345 within the current data set; further levels would require additional structural analysis
Above-price scenario — Price sits 48% above the weekly EMA200 cloud (228.04-233.33), representing a significant extension that increases the magnitude of any potential pullback if the breakout fails
Above-price scenario — The weekly VPVR shows an LVN zone at 280-290, indicating thin volume between the 260-275 and 310-320 HVN zones; a failed breakout could facilitate a fast move lower toward the Weekly SMA50 cloud
Base scenario — The 335-345 weekly HVN zone marks a major high-volume area that has absorbed significant trading activity; directional resolution from this consolidation platform is still pending
Base scenario — Price sits 48% above the weekly EMA200 cloud (228.04-233.33), representing a significant extension that increases the magnitude of any potential pullback to that long-term reference level
Base scenario — A break below the Daily EMA200 cloud at 293.02 would be the first warning sign and trigger a retest of the Weekly SMA50 cloud, though it would not invalidate the weekly trend unless the SMA50 cloud at 286.75 is breached
Below-price scenario — A break below 286.75 would indicate a major trend change and break the multi-timeframe cloud alignment that has been in place across all three timeframes
Below-price scenario — The weekly VPVR shows an LVN zone at 280-290, indicating thin volume between the Weekly SMA50 cloud and the 260-275 HVN zone; a break below 286 could facilitate a fast move toward 260-275
Below-price scenario — The weekly ADX at 22.73 suggests the long-term trend has been in place; this scenario represents a major trend reversal rather than a simple pullback

Metric	Value	Note
Earnings DCF (Midaris)	92.95	Two-stage discounted-earnings model: historical EPS growth (capped 5–20%) for 10 years, then 4% for 10 years, discounted at 11%. Same rules for every company. Reference level for the chart, not a price target.
Earnings DCF range	86.17 – 100.56	Discount rate one point higher / lower.
Close vs Earnings DCF (%)	264.10	Positive = close above the estimate.
Growth the price implies (%/yr, 10 years)	27.10	EPS growth needed for the earnings model to reach the current close.
Earnings DCF inputs	EPS base 7.46 (FY2025), growth 7.39%/yr (4y EPS CAGR FY2021-FY2025), then 4%, discounted at 12%	—
Risk-free rate (10-year Treasury)	5.18	FRED DGS10, 2026-09-24; the discount rate is this yield rounded up plus 6%.
Cash-flow DCF (provider)	132.92	Provider free-cash-flow DCF; its assumptions are the provider’s. Understates companies that reinvest most operating cash. Reference level for the chart, not a price target.
Close vs cash-flow DCF (%)	154.60	Positive = close above the estimate.
VIX	16.10	normal zone · +8.1% in 5 sessions

VIX at 16.1 is in its normal range; this level carries no particular historical pattern.
S&P 500 (SPY): -0.7% over one month, +20.7% over six months, above its 200-day average, above its 50-day average, 1.6% below its 3-month high.
Nasdaq-100 (QQQ): +2.1% over one month, +30.9% over six months, above its 200-day average, above its 50-day average, 1.5% below its 3-month high.
Earnings DCF (Midaris) 92.95 (range 86.17–100.56): close +264.1% relative to it.
Cash-flow DCF (provider) 132.92: close +154.6% relative to it.
The current close implies 27.1%/yr EPS growth for 10 years under the earnings model.
The two references are far apart: the cash-flow model counts only cash left after investment, the earnings model counts profitability before it. Both are shown as chart reference levels; this report scores price structure, not value.

TF	Chart
4h	Vpvr
4h	Cloud ma
Daily	Vpvr
Daily	Cloud ma
Weekly	Vpvr
Weekly	Cloud ma

6 chart images were generated and read by the vision step: 4h vpvr, 4h cloud ma, daily vpvr, daily cloud ma, weekly vpvr, weekly cloud ma.
Every visual figure in this report traces back to one of these images.
Numeric indicator values come from the data feed, not from the images.

Key takeaways

AAPL closed at $338.40, positioned above all key moving average clouds across all three timeframes — a clean multi-timeframe alignment that reflects sustained strength.
The 4-hour chart shows price above both the SMA50 cloud (326.99-328.99) and the EMA200 cloud (311.04-313.11), with ADX at 21.01 indicating an emerging trend.
Daily structure is equally constructive: price sits above the SMA50 cloud (321.93-324.91) and well above the EMA200 cloud (293.02-295.94), with SEPA passing (all moving averages properly aligned) and ADX at 20.97 confirming trend presence.
Weekly perspective shows price above the SMA50 cloud (286.75-293.31) and far above the EMA200 cloud (228.04-233.33), with ADX at 22.73 — the strongest of the three timeframes.
VIX at 16.1 sits in normal range with no spike, suggesting stable conditions.
Two DCF reference levels provide context: the earnings-based model (Midaris) places a reference range at $86.17-$100.56 (264% below current price, implying 27.1% annual growth embedded in the current valuation), while the cash-flow-based provider model shows $132.92 (155% below price).

What to watch

Behaviour at 335.00-340.00 (Daily VPVR HVN)
Behaviour at 335.00-345.00 (Weekly VPVR HVN)
Next reference zone: none
Daily ADX at 20.97 — a fall below 25 would mean the trend is losing force
Contradicting level, daily chart (above-price scenario): 293.02
Contradicting level, daily chart (base scenario): 293.02

indicators measured from price data: ADX(14)/ATR(14) all timeframes, weekly moving averages; cloud zones checked against price data (tolerance 1%)
vpvr precision limited image source: All VPVR zones (POC, HVN, LVN) derived from chart images with approximate precision; zones represent visual estimates only
chart img precision note: EMA200 and SMA50 cloud zones from visual extractors are approximate and have been validated against measured values (within 1% tolerance)
4h volume missing — 4-hour volume data not available; volume analysis limited to daily timeframe
weekly volume missing: Weekly volume data not available; volume analysis limited to daily timeframe
bull case short term limited levels above: No clear chart level exists above 348 within the 4H data set; further levels would require additional structural analysis
bull case medium term limited levels above: No clear daily chart level exists above 345 within the current data set; further levels would require reference to weekly resistance zones
bull case long term limited levels above: No clear weekly chart level exists above 345 within the current data set; further levels would require additional structural analysis

How to read this

This report reads price structure across three timeframes. Indicator values come from the data feed; cloud zones and volume profile levels are read off generated chart images and are approximate ranges. Two DCF figures are shown as reference levels only (an earnings-based Midaris model and the provider’s cash-flow DCF); they are not part of any score. Scenario zones describe where the chart would change character and the level that would contradict each reading — they are not instructions. Nothing here is a price forecast or investment advice.

This report was generated by AI from the data sources listed above. It is research and education, not investment advice, and not a recommendation on any security.

Sources: prices, moving averages and the cash-flow DCF come from third-party market-data providers; chart images are generated by a charting service and read by AI vision (approximate zones); explanatory text is generated by AI from those inputs. Third-party data and AI-generated text may contain errors or omissions — verify against primary sources before relying on any figure.

This is what Midaris produces.

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What the data shows

Directional read by horizon6 rows

Indicator readings by timeframe3 rows

Moving-average cloud zones6 rows

Key levels14 rows

Volume profile23 rows

What each timeframe shows3 rows

Flags raised by the model6 rows

Scenario levels30 rows

Scenario notes — 4H chart

Scenario notes — Daily chart

Scenario notes — Weekly chart

Valuation references and volatility context9 rows

Charts this report was read from6 rows

Key takeaways

What to watch

What wasn’t available8

How to read this

This is what Midaris produces.